Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.694431 0.794612 0.903250 1.029693 1.172698 1.329297 1.513664
2025-02-02 0.565265 0.706594 0.872733 1.081938 1.337809 1.640011 2.023436
2025-02-09 0.451782 0.612822 0.816703 1.092532 1.454596 1.912149 2.532542
2025-02-16 0.363435 0.531990 0.760568 1.090908 1.553397 2.174735 3.068992
2025-02-23 0.297895 0.468098 0.714086 1.091840 1.652757 2.449277 3.658912
2025-03-02 0.246311 0.413629 0.670241 1.087104 1.740507 2.716545 4.272888
2025-03-09 0.210755 0.376448 0.644903 1.104132 1.860381 3.043137 5.013968
2025-03-16 0.177225 0.335822 0.606578 1.092990 1.932146 3.302246 5.680862
2025-03-23 0.156338 0.312861 0.593248 1.120051 2.068183 3.677658 6.577085
2025-03-30 0.133659 0.282156 0.560943 1.108014 2.133670 3.941054 7.314185
2025-04-06 0.118311 0.262557 0.545464 1.123460 2.248713 4.300859 8.256714
2025-04-13 0.100763 0.235083 0.510258 1.095403 2.277773 4.508104 8.945873
2025-04-20 0.092340 0.225772 0.510478 1.138833 2.453004 5.010270 10.248817
2025-04-27 0.086136 0.220267 0.517787 1.198030 2.667812 5.612904 11.813025
2025-05-04 0.077005 0.206184 0.504297 1.210825 2.788579 6.044842 13.091044
2025-05-11 0.068163 0.191021 0.485859 1.209757 2.879373 6.426041 14.308590
2025-05-18 0.060687 0.177787 0.469681 1.211245 2.975611 6.828631 15.613748
2025-05-25 0.053856 0.164838 0.451993 1.206315 3.056274 7.206224 16.905596
2025-06-01 0.049077 0.156552 0.444577 1.225287 3.194980 7.725490 18.560721
2025-06-08 0.043485 0.144732 0.425990 1.213116 3.256950 8.078572 19.880920
2025-06-15 0.040272 0.139346 0.423730 1.243050 3.426601 8.696911 21.870024
2025-06-22 0.035823 0.129139 0.406382 1.229819 3.484865 9.058860 23.296936
2025-06-29 0.032903 0.123235 0.400339 1.246892 3.624186 9.630477 25.281731